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GFS
~7 min read · 1,592 words ·updated 2026-04-29 · confidence 53%

Quarterly trend — 8 quarter P&L

As of: 2026-04-29 (data through Q4’25 reported 2026-02-11 + Q1’26 guidance issued same day)

Reference: Multi-quarter table reconciles every Q to a specific 6-K earnings-release accession.

Confidence legend: ✓ verified from 6-K release · ◐ derived (computed from totals) · ⚠ inferred / not yet primary-source-captured

1. Eight-quarter P&L tableau

QuarterNet revenue ($M)IFRS GMNon-IFRS GMIFRS operating profit ($M)Non-IFRS operating profit ($M)IFRS net income ($M)IFRS diluted EPSNon-IFRS diluted EPSAdj. EBITDA ($M)Adj. EBITDA marginAdj. FCF ($M)
Q1’24 ⚠~1,549 ◐n/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/d
Q2’24 ⚠~1,632 ◐n/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/d
Q3’24 ✓1,73923.8%24.7%185236178$0.32$0.4162736.1%n/d
Q4’24 ✓1,83024.5%25.4%(701)285(729)$(1.32)n/dn/dn/dn/d
Q1’25~1,585n/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/dn/d
Q2’25 ✓1,68824.2%25.2%196258228$0.41$0.4258534.7%n/d
Q3’25 ✓1,68824.8%26.0%195260249$0.44$0.4157333.9%n/d
Q4’251,83027.8%29.0%255335200$0.36$0.5564135.0%264
Q1’26 (guide)1,625 ± 2526.0%27.0%n/dn/dn/d$0.23$0.35n/dn/dn/d

Q1’25 derivation (◐): $6,791M FY25 − $1,830M Q4’25 − $1,688M Q3’25 − $1,688M Q2’25 = $1,585M Q1’25 computed; awaiting Q1’25 6-K direct extraction. Likely posted on or around 2025-05-06.

Q4’24 net loss reconciliation: The IFRS Q4’24 operating loss of $(701)M and net loss of $(729)M reflect the $935M long-lived-asset impairment charge taken against legacy Malta production capacity. Non-IFRS Q4’24 operating profit was +$285M (excludes the impairment + share-based compensation). Without the impairment, normalized Q4’24 operating profit was approximately $234M — comparable to Q1-Q3 2024 run-rate.

2. Full-year FY2025 vs FY2024 (per 4Q’25 release table)

MetricFY2025FY2024
Net revenue$6,791M$6,750M+$41M+1%
Gross profit (IFRS)$1,690M$1,651M+$39M+2%
Gross margin (IFRS)24.9%24.5%+40 bps
Non-IFRS gross profit$1,773M$1,709M+$64M+4%
Non-IFRS gross margin26.1%25.3%+80 bps
Operating profit (IFRS)$797M$(214)M+$1,011M+472%
Operating margin (IFRS)11.7%(3.2)%+1,490 bps
Non-IFRS operating profit$1,066M$920M+$146M+16%
Non-IFRS operating margin15.7%13.6%+210 bps
Net income (IFRS)$888M$(262)M+$1,150M+439%
Diluted EPS (IFRS)$1.59$(0.48)+$2.07+431%
Non-IFRS net income$965M$870M+$95M+11%
Non-IFRS diluted EPS$1.72$1.56+$0.16+10%
Non-IFRS Adj. EBITDA$2,357Mn/d
Non-IFRS Adj. FCF$1,157Mn/d
Cash from operating activities$1,731M$1,722M+$9Mflat
Capex (PP&E + intangibles)$722M$625M+$97M+16%

Source: Q4’25 6-K earnings release acc. 0001709048-26-000012, filed 2026-02-11.

3. Quarterly trend narrative

3.1 Revenue cadence — back-half-loaded recovery

The FY25 quarterly cadence shows a classic back-half-loaded semiconductor recovery:

  • Q1’25 ~$1,585M (cycle trough — −13% sequential from Q4’24)
  • Q2’25 $1,688M (+6.5% sequential — first inflection up)
  • Q3’25 $1,688M (flat — pause)
  • Q4’25 $1,830M (+8.4% sequential — strong finish)

The Q4’25 print of $1,830M matched Q4’24 exactly — meaning the company fully recovered the Q4’24 high by year-end despite the persistent Smart Mobile headwind. The recovery is driven by Automotive (+17% FY YoY), Comm/Infra/DC (+29% FY YoY), and Non-Wafer (+18% FY YoY) — collectively offsetting the −12% Smart Mobile decline.

3.2 Gross margin — sustained sequential improvement

Non-IFRS gross margin trajectory through 2025:

  • Q2’25: 25.2%
  • Q3’25: 26.0% (+80 bps)
  • Q4’25: 29.0% (+300 bps)
  • Q1’26 guide: 27.0% (−200 bps QoQ — typical Q1 seasonality + mix; +180 bps YoY)

IFRS gross margin trajectory:

  • Q2’25: 24.2%
  • Q3’25: 24.8% (+60 bps)
  • Q4’25: 27.8% (+300 bps)
  • Q1’26 guide: 26.0% (−180 bps QoQ; +210 bps YoY)

CEO Tim Breen, Q4’25 release: “We grew Non-IFRS gross margin by nearly 400 basis points year-over-year in the fourth quarter.” The +330 bps IFRS / +360 bps non-IFRS YoY GM expansion in Q4’25 is the load-bearing margin-expansion data point in the 2025 narrative — driven by mix shift to Automotive + Comm/DC + Non-Wafer, plus disciplined cost management. This is the single most important sequential trend in the 8-quarter tableau.

3.3 Operating margin and EBITDA

Non-IFRS operating margin trajectory:

  • Q3’24: 13.6%
  • Q2’25: 15.3%
  • Q3’25: 15.4%
  • Q4’25: 18.3%
  • FY25 full-year: 15.7% (+210 bps vs FY24’s 13.6%)

Non-IFRS Adjusted EBITDA margin:

  • Q3’24: 36.1%
  • Q2’25: 34.7%
  • Q3’25: 33.9%
  • Q4’25: ~35.0% ⚠ (computed from $641M / $1,830M)
  • FY25 full-year: ~34.7% ($2,357M / $6,791M)

Adjusted FCF Q4’25: $264M = 14.4% of revenue — representing strong cash conversion despite continued capex investment.

3.4 Earnings — Q4’25 IFRS net income $200M is the hard print

The Q4’25 IFRS net income of $200M ($0.36 diluted EPS) is the cleanest read of GFS’s earning power post-impairment:

  • $200M net income / $1,830M revenue = 10.9% net margin
  • Non-IFRS net income $310M / $1,830M = 16.9% net margin
  • Q4’25 → Q1’26 EPS guide implies modest sequential decline ($0.55 non-IFRS → $0.35) on lower revenue and seasonal-step in opex ($272M IFRS opex guide)

3.5 Wafer shipments

Per Q3’25 6-K:

  • Q3’25: 602K wafers (300mm equivalents)
  • Q2’25: 581K
  • Q3’24: 549K

Wafer shipments grew +10% YoY in Q3’25 — outpacing revenue growth of (3)%. The implication is wafer ASP declined ~12% YoY in Q3’25 — consistent with the mature-node Smart Mobile ASP compression discussed in margins and pricing. Mix shift toward higher-ASP Automotive + Datacenter is the offsetting force.

4. Quarterly capex (per cash-flow statement)

FY25 capex disclosure: $722M total (PP&E + intangibles + capitalized development costs). Quarterly cadence not disclosed in 6-K release format but inferable from cash-flow statement:

  • FY25: $722M (+$97M / +16% YoY)
  • FY24: $625M
  • FY23: $1,804M (peak — pre-rationalization)

The capex profile is markedly down from FY23 as GFS completed the major Fab 8 capacity buildout. FY25’s $722M is closer to maintenance capex; FY26 capex is likely to step up to the $900M – $1.1B range as Fab 8 expansion + Burlington VT + AMITC-eligible projects ramp under the CHIPS Direct Funding Agreement (per capex cycle).

5. Q1’26 guide reconciliation

MetricQ1’26 guide midpointQ1’25 actualYoYQ4’25 actualQoQ
Revenue$1,625M~$1,585M+2.5%$1,830M−11.2%
IFRS GM26.0%n/dn/d27.8%−180 bps
Non-IFRS GM27.0%n/dn/d29.0%−200 bps
Non-IFRS diluted EPS$0.35n/dn/d$0.55−$0.20

Q1 sequential softness is typical seasonality (per FY25 20-F: “Our revenue is subject to some seasonal variation and has historically been lower in the first half of the year”). The +2.5% YoY at the revenue line continues the recovery trajectory; the slight gross-margin compression vs Q4’25 reflects mix mean-reversion plus Q1 typical underutilization absorption.

6. Open items / backfill queue

  1. Q1’25 6-K direct extraction — confirm $1,585M derivation. Filing date likely 2025-05-06.
  2. Quarterly capex breakdown — not disclosed in earnings release format; could be triangulated from interim balance-sheet PP&E movement once Q1’25 / Q2’25 6-Ks are fully captured.
  3. Q1-Q2 2024 quarterly P&L — for full 8-quarter table at the granularity above.
  4. End-market mix by quarter — currently disclosed only on annual basis in the 20-F MD&A; quarterly disclosure would be extracted from supplemental financial tables on company IR site.

Sources

  • Q4’25 6-K (acc. 0001709048-26-000012, filed 2026-02-11) — full FY2025 + Q4’25 P&L, Q1’26 guidance, FY25 adjusted EBITDA $2,357M, FY25 adjusted FCF $1,157M.
  • Q3’25 6-K (acc. 0001709048-25-000069, filed 2025-11-12) — Q3’25 + nine-month YTD P&L, wafer shipments 602K Q3’25 / 581K Q2’25 / 549K Q3’24.
  • Q2’25 6-K (acc. 0001709048-25-000057, filed 2025-08-05) — Q2’25 P&L (referenced only; full extraction queued).
  • FY2025 20-F (acc. 0001709048-26-000022, filed 2026-02-27) — FY full-year financials + comparatives.

Cross-references