Events & catalyst calendar
Forward catalysts, dated milestones, and a daily-rebuild changelog. Auto-populated by the rebuild script; supplemented with hand-curated near-term events from the open questions register.
companies/<ticker>/data/FORWARD_EVENTS.json to render.
Catalyst impact backtest
12 historical catalysts · day-of / 5d / 30d returnsAverage return by catalyst type
filings(1)
day-of: +16.3%
5d: +15.1%
30d: -0.1%
partnership(2)
day-of: +2.1%
5d: +4.9%
30d: +12.5%
leadership(3)
day-of: +0.1%
5d: -1.4%
30d: +0.9%
capital(6)
day-of: -0.6%
5d: +1.8%
30d: +2.9%
Per-event detail
| Date | Event | Type | Pre | Day-of | 5d | 30d | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Lightwave Logic GDSFactory PDK availability on Fotonix — slot-waveguide process modifications; 200G/400G validation tape-outs scheduled | partnership | $41.86 | +4.6% | +5.0% | +15.4% | +4.6% day-of; +5.0% 5d; +15.4% 30d. Sustained appreciation — productized PDK milestone validates Fotonix moat positioning. |
| 2026-03-13 | Mubadala $840M secondary closes — 20M shares @ $42.00 + 7.34M GF buyback @ $40.845; stake to 77.05% | capital | $41.59 | +0.6% | +2.1% | +17.9% | +0.6% day-of; +2.1% 5d; +17.9% 30d. Post-overhang relief rally as Mubadala secondary cleared; $300M buyback supportive. |
| 2026-03-11 | Mubadala secondary underwriting agreement signed (27.34M shares + 3M overallotment) | capital | $46.63 | -5.4% | -6.1% | +4.9% | -5.4% day-of (supply pressure); -6.1% 5d; +4.9% 30d as supply absorbed. Confirms 5-10% one-day technical-pressure pattern on Mubadala selldown events. |
| 2026-02-11 | Q4'25 / FY2025 earnings — non-IFRS GM 26.1%; +400bps YoY GM in Q4; $500M buyback; Anderskouv resignation | filings | $41.90 | +16.3% | +15.1% | -0.1% | +16.3% day-of — earnings beat + buyback authorization drove biggest one-day move; faded -14% over 30d on Mubadala secondary supply pressure. |
| 2025-11-17 | AMF + InfiniLink acquisitions announced — silicon photonics consolidation | partnership | $33.05 | -0.3% | +4.8% | +9.7% | Flat day-of; +5% 5d; +9.7% 30d. Slow appreciation — market needed time to digest 'largest pure-play SiPh foundry' positioning. |
| 2025-10-28 | Project SPRINT — €1.1B Dresden investment under EU Chips Act; €495M state-aid | capital | $35.42 | -2.2% | +0.7% | +1.2% | -2.2% day-of; recovered 30d. Capex announcement absorbed as expected; EU subsidy partially offsets. |
| 2025-10-27 | CFO John Hollister departs (personal reasons); Sam Franklin interim CFO | leadership | $35.32 | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | Flat across all windows. Market priced 'personal reasons' framing as routine; Franklin (Mubadala alumnus) bench depth absorbed transition. |
| 2025-04-28 | Breen CEO transition takes effect; Anderskouv President & COO formal start | leadership | $35.29 | -0.2% | +1.7% | +4.1% | Flat day-of; +2% 5d; +4% 30d. Smooth handoff; no operating-disruption signal. |
| 2025-02-05 | Leadership transition announced — Caulfield → Breen CEO eff. Apr 28; Anderskouv → P/COO | leadership | $40.55 | +0.1% | -6.9% | -1.4% | Flat day-of; -7% 5d; recovered 30d. Transition was telegraphed (Mubadala-aligned succession); no surprise reaction. |
| 2024-11-20 | CHIPS Act final award signed — $1.5B direct + $550M+ NY State Green CHIPS | capital | $42.38 | -1.7% | +6.1% | -1.6% | -1.7% day-of; +6.1% 5d; -1.6% 30d. Anti-climatic — preliminary already priced in; broader market context bounded reaction. |
| 2024-05-13 | Mubadala secondary offering ~$950M; stake ~85% → ~81.6% | capital | $51.09 | +3.0% | +5.7% | -3.5% | +3.0% day-of (counterintuitive — supply absorbed); -3.5% 30d as supply digested. |
| 2024-02-19 | CHIPS Act preliminary memorandum — up to $1.5B direct funding for Malta + Burlington | capital | $53.38 | +2.1% | +2.1% | -1.8% | +2.1% day-of; faded over 30d. Preliminary memo; market priced final award expectation ahead of confirmation. |